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Gran Tierra Energy Inc. Announces Operational Update and 2019 Guidance: 12 to 18% Production Growth within Cash Flow

CALGARY, Alberta, Dec. 17, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (“Gran Tierra” or the “Company”) (NYSE American:GTE) (NYSE MKT:GTE) (TSX:GTE) (LSE:GTE), is pleased to announce an operational update and its 2019 capital budget and production guidance. All dollar amounts are in United States dollars and all production volumes are on a working interest before royalties (“WI“) basis and are expressed in barrels (“bbl”) of oil equivalent (“boe”), unless otherwise indicated.

Highlights

Operational Update (All Projects 100% WI)

Credit Facility Update

2019 Guidance

2019 Capital Budget and Expenses

Gran Tierra is forecasting the following ranges for the Company’s 2019 capital budget:

2019 Budget Base Case High Case Low Case
Brent Oil Price ($/bbl) 65.00   75.00   55.00  
Cash Flow2 ($ million) 365-375 435-445 290-300
Total Capital ($ million) 350-370 350-370 300-320
Development Capital ($ million) 235-245 235-245 200-210
Cash Flow2 after Development Capital ($ million) 125-130 195-200 90-95
Exploration Capital ($ million) 115-125 115-125 100-110
Free Cash Flow3 ($ million) 5-15 75-85 (15)-(10)
Share Buyback ($ million) 20 50 0
Year-End Net Debt4/Cash Flow2 (times) 0.8-1.0 0.7-0.9 1.1-1.3
Number of Development Wells (gross) 31-32 31-32 25-26
Number of Exploration Wells (gross) 7-8 7-8 5-6

Gran Tierra expects approximate 2019 expenses and operating netback5 to be in the following ranges:

2019 Budget Forecast
Brent Oil Price ($/bbl) 65.00
Expenses ($/boe)  
Transportation and Quality Discount 11.00 – 13.00
Royalties 9.00 – 10.00
Oil and Gas Sales Price ($/boe) 42.00 – 45.00
Operating Costs 8.50 – 9.50
Transportation (Pipeline) 1.50 – 2.50
Operating Netback5 ($/boe) 30.00 – 35.00
General and Administrative 1.50 – 2.00
Cash-Settled Stock-Based Compensation 0.90 – 1.00
Interest and Financing 1.50 – 2.00
Taxes 3.50 – 4.50

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer of Gran Tierra, commented: “During 2018, we have continued to execute our strategy of delivering profitable organic production growth while reinvesting in exploration and appraisal of our diversified Colombian asset portfolio. In mid-December 2018, we crossed an important milestone with record Company production of 40,000 boepd. Our 2019 capital budget is a balanced returns-focused program, with a strong development component and a robust high-impact exploration and appraisal campaign. Our 2019 plans are expected to build on the operational momentum achieved by our team in 2018, to be fully funded from cash flow2 and to deliver the next phase of transformative production and reserves growth. With our 2019 expense budget, we are forecasting decreases in both our operating and general and administrative costs per boe compared to 2018.

Our MMV assets are expected to drive Gran Tierra’s profitable growth in 2019. We plan to ramp up production at Acordionero and continue our appraisal of the Ayombero-Chuira field. At Acordionero, we expect to continuously drill both production and water injection wells throughout 2019 and beyond, while continuing to expand the current waterflood program for enhanced oil recovery. Acordionero’s results to date have continued to exceed our original expectations when we acquired the field in 2016.

We are achieving success across the Putumayo Basin where we plan to further delineate our high potential Carbonate and N-Sandstone plays by continuing to drill a mix of exploration, appraisal and development wells. With the largest Putumayo landholdings of 1.1 million acres and seismic data base, we believe Gran Tierra is well positioned in the most prospective fairways of this proven, under-explored basin. We are fortunate to be operating in Colombia, with both the MMV and the Putumayo having sufficient infrastructure for us to monetize our current and future production based on the Brent world oil price.

We believe that Gran Tierra has a self-funding and sustainable business model with an excellent Colombian portfolio to generate ongoing material growth on a per share basis in terms of net asset value, production, reserves and cash flow.”

Additional Details of 2019 Capital Budget

2019 Development Capital Budget ($235 – $245 Million)

2019 Exploration Capital Budget ($115 – $125 Million)

Gran Tierra’s 2019 exploration program is focused on drilling in proven basins with known oil accumulations and stacked pay. The Company believes that this approach increases chances of success by lowering the risk of drilling dry holes.

1Average 2018 production through September 30, 2018 was 35,683 boepd; 2017 production was Colombia only, adjusted for sale of Brazil assets effective June 30, 2017.
2“Cash flow” refers to the GAAP line item “net cash provided by operating activities”.
3 “Free cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure and does not have a standardized meaning under GAAP. Free cash flow is defined as “net cash provided by operating activities” less projected 2019 capital spending. Refer to “Non-GAAP Measures” in this press release for a description.
4“Net debt” (non-GAAP) is an estimate of 2019 year-end working capital, less $115 million in senior convertible notes and $300 million in senior notes.
5 Operating netback is a non-GAAP measure and does not have a standardized meaning under GAAP. Refer to “Non-GAAP Measures” in this press release for a description.  The GAAP measure is oil and gas sales price. Estimated oil and gas sales price is calculated by subtracting 2019 forecasts of transportation and quality discount and royalties from the 2019 budget Brent oil price forecast as outlined in the table above. Estimated 2019 operating netback is calculated by subtracting 2019 forecasts of transportation and quality discount, royalties, operating costs and pipeline transportation from the 2019 budget Brent oil price forecast as outlined in the table above.

Contact Information

For investor and media inquiries please contact:

Gary Guidry
Chief Executive Officer

Ryan Ellson
Chief Financial Officer

Rodger Trimble
Vice President, Investor Relations

+1-403-265-3221
info@grantierra.com

About Gran Tierra Energy Inc.

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. together with its subsidiaries is an independent international energy company focused on oil and natural gas exploration and production in Colombia. The Company also had business activities in Peru, which were sold pursuant to an agreement dated November 9, 2017. The Company is focused on its existing portfolio of assets in Colombia and will pursue new growth opportunities throughout Colombia, leveraging its financial strength. The Company’s common shares trade on the NYSE American, the Toronto Stock Exchange and the London Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol GTE. Additional information concerning Gran Tierra is available at www.grantierra.com. Information on the Company’s website does not constitute a part of this press release. Investor inquiries may be directed to info@grantierra.com or (403) 265-3221.

Gran Tierra’s Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) filings are available on the SEC website at http://www.sec.gov and on SEDAR at http://www.sedar.com. UK regulatory filings are available on the National Storage Mechanism website at www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/nsm.

Forward Looking Information Advisory

This press release contains opinions, forecasts, projections, and other statements about future events or results that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and financial outlook and forward looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws (collectively, “forward-looking statements”). All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this press release regarding our financial position, estimated quantities and net present value of reserves, business strategy, plans and objectives for future operations, capital spending plans and those statements preceded by, followed by or that otherwise include the words “believe”, “expect”, “intend”, “anticipate”, “forecast”, “budget”, “will”, “estimate”, “target”, “project”, “goal”, “plan”, “should”, “guidance” or similar expressions are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the Company’s capital budget amount and uses, drilling and capital program including the changes thereto along with the expected costs and the allocation of capital and drilling including trends, infrastructure schedules and the expected timing and drilling sequence of certain projects ; the Company’s operations; future projected or target production and the growth of production including expectations respecting production growth, expected future net cash provided by operating activities (described in this press release as “cash flow”), free cash flow, net debt and certain associated metrics; our strategy regarding changing oil prices; expected cost savings; anticipated capital expenditures, including the location and impact of capital expenditures, the timing and amounts of potential share buybacks, timing of execution of and terms under the amended credit facility; our business strategies; our ability to grow in both the near and long term and the funding of our growth opportunities; the plans, objectives, expectations and intentions of the Company regarding production, exploration and exploration upside, development; and the future development of the Company’s business. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release reflect several material factors and expectations and assumptions of Gran Tierra including, without limitation, that Gran Tierra will continue to conduct its operations in a manner consistent with its current expectations, the accuracy of testing and production results and seismic data, pricing and cost estimates (including with respect to commodity pricing and exchange rates), rig availability, the effects of drilling down-dip, the effects of waterflood and hydraulic stimulation operations, the extent and effect of delivery disruptions and the general continuance of current or, where applicable, assumed operational, regulatory and industry conditions including in areas of potential expansion, the receipt of approval from the ANH and the ability of Gran Tierra to execute its current business and operational plans in the manner currently planned. Gran Tierra believes the material factors, expectations and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time but no assurance can be given that these factors, expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct.

Among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements in this press release are: sustained or future declines in commodity prices and potential resulting future impairments and reductions in proved reserve quantities and value; Gran Tierra’s operations are located in South America, and unexpected problems can arise due to guerrilla activity; technical difficulties and operational difficulties may arise which impact the production, transport or sale of our products; geographic, political and weather conditions can impact the production, transport or sale of our products; the risk that current global economic and credit conditions may impact oil prices and oil consumption more than Gran Tierra currently predicts; the ability of Gran Tierra to execute its business plan; the risk that unexpected delays and difficulties in developing currently owned properties may occur; the timely receipt of regulatory or other required approvals for our operating activities; the failure of exploratory drilling to result in commercial wells; unexpected delays due to the limited availability of drilling equipment and personnel; the risk that oil prices could continue to decline or be volatile, or current global economic and credit market conditions may impact current oil prices or expectations regarding future oil prices and oil consumption, which could cause Gran Tierra to further modify its strategy and capital spending program; and the risk factors detailed from time to time in Gran Tierra’s periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including, without limitation, under the caption “Risk Factors” in Gran Tierra’s Annual Report on Form 10-K filed February 28, 2018 and its other filings with the SEC. These filings are available on the SEC website at http://www.sec.gov and on SEDAR at http://www.sedar.com. Although the current guidance, capital spending program and long term strategy of Gran Tierra are based upon the current expectations of the management of Gran Tierra, should any one of a number of issues arise, Gran Tierra may find it necessary to alter its business strategy and/or capital spending program and there can be no assurance as at the date of this press release as to how those funds may be reallocated or strategy changed and how that would impact Gran Tierra’s results of operations and financing position.

All forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this press release and the fact that this press release remains available does not constitute a representation by Gran Tierra that Gran Tierra believes these forward-looking statements continue to be true as of any subsequent date. Actual results may vary materially from the expected results expressed in forward-looking statements. Gran Tierra disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as expressly required by applicable securities laws. Gran Tierra’s forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.

The estimates of future production, net cash provided by operating activities (described in this press release as “cash flow”), free cash flow, net debt, working capital and certain expenses may be considered to be future-oriented financial information or a financial outlook for the purposes of applicable Canadian securities laws. Financial outlook and future-oriented financial information contained in this press release about prospective financial performance, financial position or cash flows are based on assumptions about future events, including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently available, and to become available in the future. In particular, this press release contains projected operational and financial information for 2019. These projections contain forward-looking statements and are based on a number of material assumptions and factors set out above. Actual results may differ significantly from the projections presented herein. The actual results of Gran Tierra’s operations for any period could vary from the amounts set forth in these projections, and such variations may be material. See above for a discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to vary. The future-oriented financial information and financial outlooks contained in this press release have been approved by management as of the date of this press release. Readers are cautioned that any such financial outlook and future-oriented financial information contained herein should not be used for purposes other than those for which it is disclosed herein. The Company and its management believe that the prospective financial information has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management’s best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of management’s knowledge and opinion, the Company’s expected course of action. However, because this information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results.

Oil and Gas Disclaimer

BOEs have been converted on the basis of 6 thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to 1 bbl of oil. BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, given that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared with natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalent of six to one, utilizing a BOE conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl would be misleading as an indication of value.

This press release contains certain oil and gas metrics, including operating netback, which do not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies and should not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company’s performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance of the Company and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods

References to thickness of “oil pay” or of a formation where evidence of hydrocarbons has been encountered is not necessarily an indicator that hydrocarbons will be recoverable in commercial quantities or in any estimated volume. Well test results should be considered as preliminary and not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. Well log interpretations indicating oil and gas accumulations are not necessarily indicative of future production or ultimate recovery. If it is indicated that a pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out, any data disclosed in that respect should be considered preliminary until such analysis has been completed.

Non-GAAP Measures

This press release includes forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures as further described herein. These non-GAAP measures do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP. Investors are cautioned that these measures should not be construed as an alternative to net income or loss or other measures of financial performance as determined in accordance with GAAP. Gran Tierra’s method of calculating these measures may differ from other companies and, accordingly, it may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. These non-GAAP financial measures are presented along with the corresponding GAAP measure so as to not imply that more emphasis should be placed on the non-GAAP measure.

Operating netback as presented is defined as oil and gas sales less operating and transportation expenses. Management believes that operating netback is a useful supplemental measure for management and investors to analyze financial performance and provides an indication of the results generated by our principal business activities prior to the consideration of other income and expenses. Gran Tierra is unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of forward-looking operating netback to its most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP measure because management cannot reliably predict certain of the necessary components of such forward-looking GAAP measure.

Free cash flow as presented is defined as GAAP “net cash provided by operating activities” less projected 2019 capital spending. Management believes that free cash flow is a useful supplemental measure for management and investors to in order to evaluate the financial sustainability of the Company’s business. Gran Tierra is unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of forward-looking free cash flow to its most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP measure because management cannot reliably predict certain of the necessary components of such forward-looking GAAP measure.